Jul 1, 1990

The Next Big Thing

 

His comparatively skimpy resources, Goldman asserts, may give him the biggest advantage of all. "The other companies are selling something else at the same time," he says. "For me, it's not like, 'Let's test this and drop it if it doesn't work.' We'll test it, massage it, cajole it, and figure out its strong points. We'll make this work."

* * *

Research assistance was provided by Leslie Brokaw.


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

THE COMPANY:
Pizza Now! Inc., Phoenix

Concept: Resimplify fast food, offering consumers speed and value with a franchise chain of drive-through pizza restaurants promising fresh pizza in three minutes or less

Projections: Nine company-owned and 50 franchised units operating by end of 1991; estimated income per franchise unit before taxes and depreciation: $75,400 on sales of $520,000

Hurdles: Beating competition from established chains including McDonald's, which may roll out pizza later this year; attracting experienced franchisees to a low-yield-per-unit concept

THE FOUNDER
Philip M. Goldman, President and CEO
Age:
46

Family: Single, three sons

Source of idea: Friend in the restaurant business

Personal funds invested: $1.7 million

Equity held: 97%

Salary: Zero

Workweek: 70 to 80 hours

Education: Left Clemson College after three years

Outside directors: No

Other businesses started: Kabuki Japanese Steak House, sold in 1975; Marco Pollo International, liquidated in 1986

What I'd do if I weren't doing this: Run a bed-and-breakfast in Santa Fe


FINANCIALS

Pizza Now! Franchisee Pro Forma Operating Statement (Freestanding Restaurant)*

SALES $520,000

Cost of goods sold

Food purchases (27%) 140,400

Other 36,400


GROSS PROFIT
343,200

Percent gross profit 66%


OPERATING EXPENSES

Labor and benefits 145,600

Royalty fee (4%) 20,800

Advertising (5%) 26,000

Ground rent 25,000

Utilities 15,000

Delivery expenses 6,500

Miscellaneous 28,900


TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSES
267,800


*The above analysis is based on INC. estimates.

NET PROFIT BEFORE DEPRECIATION & TAX 75,400

Percent net profit before depreciation & tax 15%

Depreciation 43,642

NET PROFIT BEFORE TAX 31,758

Percent net profit before tax 6%


WHAT THE EXPERTS SAY

OBSERVER
JOHN CORRELL

Restaurant consultant specializing in pizza; founder of Pizzuti's, a two-unit restaurant chain in the Detroit area offering one-minute drive-through pizza, which he sold in 1984

Goldman seems to have done some good research on the drive-through industry. But I'm dubious that he can avoid the low-quality stigma that one-minute pizza has.

Attempting to position the product a notch above the competition is a very good marketing idea. But can he pull it off? Ultimately, pizza quality is not a matter of ingredients but of perception. When you take a product and push it through a drive-through window, the quality perception goes down. Goldman doesn't want to go deeper into delivery because of the competition, and that's smart. But how long before drive-through is full of intense competitors? Twenty-four to 36 months, maybe. It won't take Pizza Hut and Domino's long. And McDonald's is not too shabby, either.

So the only way he's going to survive is by outmarketing them on a neighborhood basis. He'll have to do a slightly better job than the rest at being customer responsive. And he needs to understand the importance of creating management and training systems. Rally's isn't successful because it has a better-looking box or burger. It all comes down to execution. When the competition gets fierce, that will be key. If he can pull this off, he's a pizza marketing genius.

COMPETITOR

LEO KELLEHER

Chief financial officer, RioStar Corp., which owns a controlling interest in Bambolino's Italian Kitchen, a 15-unit chain of drive-through pizza and pasta restaurants in Houston and Lafayette, La.

We've gone down the exact path he is going down, and we would not do it again. Franchising, for example, can be a major distraction. Selling 50 franchises in the next year -- that is absolutely undoable. When you have a start-up concept, you are out there competing for franchisees. He thinks he'll somehow find the people who have the money; we didn't.

Even if he does, franchisees are looking for more upside than he can offer. Remember, there's nothing in the numbers for debt service. If the franchisee is getting $75,000 in cash flow, you've got to service his debt out of that for the first four to five years. After the debt service, he could easily be left with $35,000 on a $325,000 investment. Is that worth it? I don't think so. You could go get a $35,000 job at McDonald's. OK, so then you say, 'But it's not just $35,000, because you'll open a bunch of restaurants.' Then you are getting into multiunit management, and for that you need people who are very experienced. And all of this is assuming $520,000 in sales, which is overly optimistic.

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